The Black Swan

Out of Stock

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Product details:

Author:

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Pages:

480

Publishing date:

2008

Publisher:

Penguin Books Ltd

Cover:

Paperback

ISBN:

9780141034591

The Black Swan

Out of Stock

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Product description

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.